By Reuters
April 6 (Reuters) – Citigroup has pushed back its Fed rate-cut timeline, citing unexpectedly strong U.S. job gains and persistent inflation risks.
The Wall Street brokerage now expects a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts in September, October and December instead of June, July and September, according to a note dated April 3.
“We continue to think signs of a weakening labor market will result in cuts later in the year. But the timing of upcoming data suggests a later start to rate cuts than we had previously been expecting,” Citigroup said.
U.S. job growth rebounded more than expected in March as a strike by healthcare workers ended and temperatures warmed up, but downside risks for the labor market are mounting from a war with Iran that has no clear end in sight.
Citigroup says weak hiring will push the unemployment rate higher in the summer, similar to the last few years.—Reuters
